New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors NBA Betting Analysis and Odds Insight

Markets likely center on moneyline, spread, and total points. Books may open with New Orleans as a modest home favorite, for example in a rough -3.5 to -6.5 spread range, depending on confirmed injuries to core players such as Williamson and any major Golden State starters. If the Pelicans’ last five outings show solid offensive efficiency at home and the Warriors continue to allow high opponent percentages from three or in transition, the over on total points could appear in the 225.5 to 233.5 range, with slight upward movement if both teams are near full strength.

New Orleans projects as a reasonable home favorite given Zion Williamson’s 21.8 points per game and the Pelicans’ typically stronger home performances, while Golden State relies more on developing scorers such as Brandin Podziemski, who averages 12.1 points and may be less reliable on the road. If recent five-game form aligns with this general pattern, New Orleans holds a slight but clear edge in half-court scoring balance and interior offense, which often translates better at home. However, this edge remains moder.