Ernesta Kareckaite vs Sofia Montenegro: UFC women’s bout betting outlook and angles

Additional info

If market sentiment shows steady shortening on one fighter over 24–48 hours, it often reflects confidence in their cardio, defensive skills, and ability to win minutes rather than chase an early finish. With limited public data, there is only a slight lean toward the technically cleaner, more defensively sound fighter edging a decision if pre-fight footage suggests superior jab, movement, and takedown defence.

Before betting, confirm official bout order, contracted weight, and that neither fighter has reported serious weight-cut problems or last-minute injuries. Check your sportsbook’s settlement rules on technical decisions, no contests, or bouts cancelled after the opening bell, since these can affect 1X2 grading. Review your account limits and possible stake restrictions on lower-profile UFC fights.

This lean would be quickly invalidated by news of a compromised training camp, a significant reach or grappling disadvantage that was previously overlooked, or an early knockdown or cut that disrupts the expected slow, technical pace.