Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich betting analysis and odds for 28 February 2026

From a betting perspective, the 1X2 market usually has Bayern as a narrow favourite, often around 1.90–2.20 on the away win, with Dortmund in the 3.00–3.60 range and the draw near 3.80–4.20, though these ranges can shift with lineups and form updates. The total goals line is commonly set at 3.0 or 3.5 given the attacking profiles; over 2.5 goals is often priced short near 1.40–1.55, while over 3.5 can drift toward 1.95–2.25. Both teams to score yes is frequently around 1.40–1.55 due to recent head-to-head trends showing goals at both ends.

Recent Dortmund vs Bayern fixtures in the Bundesliga have often produced open, attacking football with several clear chances for both sides, which typically pushes expected goals above the 2.5 line. Both clubs favour proactive styles, high defensive lines, and aggressive pressing, which tend to create space and transition opportunities rather than low-event matches. Assuming both first-choice forward lines start and weather conditions are normal, the tactical matchup points toward at least three goals being a reali.